1. The teaching is good in our new state-of-the-art college building at Fort Leavenworth. Everyday as I walk to the new building I go past the old building which is being demolished. I’ve been watching the wrecking ball taking apart beautiful building and I can’t help but noticing how quickly the heavy ball takes apart […]
Tag: ETFs
Borrow more to get out of debt: all it lacks is an 800 number and an infomercial
In a sequence of CSPAN broadcasts, Washington insiders expressed their shock—Shock! at the state of the budget disaster in Congress. Senator Conrad, has suddenly discovered just how deep the debt hole that Congressional spending, aided and abetted by an unprincipled administration, has put our children in. Because its our children thathave inherited the mess these […]
Tactical trading: maxpain strategy in oil pays off within a week
closed our tactical trade in oil, using the 2x leveraged oil ETF (DXO). we bought at $2.20 with a .2 initial stop, after oil closed below $30/barrel, and closed the tactical portion of the trade today at $3.45. Thats a little over a 6R win in a week. here are some of the supporting slides […]
US government debt and the first rule of holes
when you realize you are in one, stop digging
Market Health Check, Dec 22, 2008
Upgrade from Intensive Care to Critical market has been hammering out a bottom here. The slope of the 50d MA and the 30d Rline have turned positive. Volatility has dramatically reduced. The large candle days in the last 30 have been up not down; the 20 and 50dMAs are coming together. The next “easy” upside […]
Efficient markets: Being vs Becoming
There is a world of difference, all you need really, in the difference between these 2 statements: the market IS efficient and the market becomes efficient. It’s the difference between a state of being and a state of becoming (a state of action). A market moving towards efficient price levels is a market in motion, […]
A short term trading strategy for chaotic markets
today’s intraday trades in EEV, the double leveraged inverse emerging markets ETF are instructive in the kinds of short term trades that are working in this volatile, chaotic market. That is to say: short time frames, with low risk trades framed in the most volatile indices. I currently favor EEV because it is very volatile […]
Profitable ETF trading strategies: adapting to chaos
When you find yourself in conditions of chaos, you discover that your robust systems are beginning to break down. They no longer perform as designed, simply because the volatility is greater than the system boundaries and feedback mechanisms can account for or moderate. Slack, buffers, filters and boundaries all work to dampen waves of change. […]
Profitable ETF Trading techniques: Understanding the importance of behavioral finance
We know that people pride themselves on their rationality and analytical skills. This is very evident in traders who invest a lot of psychological energy into their systems and personal discipline. And yet it is also very clear that psychology is extraordinarily evident in financial decisions. Time and again ,psychological pressures will over-rule rational analysis […]
Profitable ETF Trading Strategies: Reversion to the Mean Trading Style
One of the time tested principles of market dynamics is the principle of the Reversion to the Mean. Over the long run, performance, volatility, price, relative strength: all of these measures mathematically require that periods of out-performance shall return to the mean. Naturally, this is not prediction, only an appreciation of how the math is performed. […]