Month: January 2011

The power of water, and reflections on critical thinking

Image via Wikipedia A testimony to the power of water, in recent Australian floods. www.youtube.com/swf/l.swf?video_id=kYUpkPTcqPY Water level in rivers follows the Log-Pearson 3 probability distribution(see attached picture) Tightly clustered around the mean, with little variation, and a limit on how far the left hand tail can go (ie “dry”) The right hand tail though is […]

Reflections on economy, China and education

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704062604576105952027426880.html another step in the realization of the Chinese Century. They are in the same economic position the US was at the end of WW2: had all the money, the manufacturing base and the need & capacity to export to war torn countries of Europe. Look at what happened in the 50s and 60s until […]

Reflections on Starobin’s Five Roads to the Future

Paul Starobin’ s biography (from the author), from  NationalJournal.com Related Link: http://www.afteramericabook.com Paul Starobin is a staff correspondent for National Journal and a contributing editor to The Atlantic Monthly. He is author of the new book “After America: Narratives for the Next Global Age,” available in soft cover as “Five Roads to the Future: Power […]

Reflections on “Sonic Boom” by Greg Easterbrook

Commentary on Sonic Boom by Gregg Easterbrook His reasons for believing that an explosion in globalization is coming: ease of communication freedom of speech and democracy markets tend to consumer demand rising education levels chip-based electronics equality of women reduced military spending and interlinked nations My concerns after reading his introduction:  will he be addressing […]

Innovation as a function of R&D investments? not so much; check your network first

Image via Wikipedia Some excellent insights into the power of quality connections and the network effect with respect to R&D, innovation and open borders Hard times call for new solutions and we are starting to take a good hard look at how innovation really works and what we can do to improve performance. Recent reports […]

An executive summary of complexity theory

Image via Wikipedia An executive summary of complexity theory Johnson, N. (2007). Simply complexity: A clear guide to complexity theory. OneWorld Publications, Oxford. Futurists are in the business of providing a structured vision of the future that includes variables, dynamics, processes, themes and values by which the future will unfold and how we can be […]

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