There is a new conventional wisdom beginning to emerge from the stock market these days and it says that there’s no way you can make money in a bear market unless you have the good fortune to be an expert market timer and bet against the recovery of the broad market. While it is true […]
Tag: decision-making
The path to mastery, with emotional intelligence
The studies in the Cambridge Handbook of Expertise and Expert Performance describe the path to mastery as: (1) Deliberative Practice (2) Time spent at Deliberative Practice (3) Assistance from a mentor. Deliberative practice can be broken down to: (1) Identifying a long-term outcome (2) Breaking down the skills that lead to that outcome into its […]
Straddling the fence: the challenge and rewards of the practitioner-scholar
here is a snippet from the author’s preface to the CIA’s Psychology of Intelligence Analysis. It is an excellent free resource from our CIA. He captures for me the essence of the challenge of being the practitioner scholar: being the transmission gearbox between the world of rigorous, focused, research-oriented scholarship and the broad, immediate world […]
Reflecting on the use of action research to guide curriculum development
from a project I am working on: describing why I believe Action Research is the right way to proceed with curriculum redesign projects. The importance of using Action Research methodology. The broad professional consensus is that we need transformational changes to our curriculum in order to understand an Army Change Management System which is struggling […]
A reflection on Action Inquiry in Army change management curriculum review (part 2)
Requirement: 3.A. Individual Learning Memo Assignment (Max 4 pages): write a final memo on what you have learned about action research. a. What do you take with you to the next part of your program? Summarize your takeaways as bullet points on the last pages of your memo. (1 page) b. Define your contribution to […]
A reflection on Problem-solving vs Decision-making
I see an important distinction between problem-solving as a method and decision making as a process. I see problem solving as an important component of decision-making but I see this distinction: decision-making seems to be the ultimate act of convergent thinking as a prelude to action. I see problem-solving as an analytical or intuitive process […]
Responsible skepticism in action
maybe the best description of skepticism in action I have read lately, from Robert Burton, M.D. at Salon, describing the questions he’s ask of candidates for President and why. A longish quote, but it’s that good. …Ideally, …(t)he candidates would be given questions, including a variety of “thought experiments” for which they could not be […]
Reflections on the Military Decisionmaking Process: Preview
Research Question: What is the theoretical basis for the US Army’s proposed modification to the Military Decision Making Process (MDMP) and what are the issues of concern for practitioners of the art of military decision making? Background: The United States Army’s Military Decision-Making Process stands the test of time as a method for developing winning […]
A Reflection on Army Force Structure Decision-making
1. Introduction and background: In 1994, the United States Army began deciding how to organize itself for future battlefields where the enemy threat, organization and doctrine no longer had the certainty of the Cold War years. Historically, the Army analyzed a specific enemy in terms of size, composition, location, equipment, training, and tactics in order […]