In any profession that features a strong human performance factor, there will surely be a mix of both art and science that contributes to the final product and performance level. Since the trading profession incorporates such a large amounts of human psychology at both the individual and organizational level, it’s worth considering how both art and science are reflected in your own trading practice. It’s also good to know how strong you are in both dimensions so that you can insure you leverage your strengths while protecting your weaknesses.
The scientific aspect of trading has a lot to do with quantifiable considerations like:
- statistical analysis of market conditions
- statistical analysis of trading results
- statistical analysis of various trading systems in order to rank them by effectiveness and risk adjusted return
- the predictive power of back testing and forecasting algorithms
- analysis of repeatable events in order to find efficiencies and economies of scale, such as in hardware and communications throughput factors
- at institutional level, the relationship between now and supply and demand in determining price
- the ability to forecast market responses based on the law of large numbers and mass psychology
- identifying causation and correlation between variables
- identifying cause-and-effect relationships
- creating and testing trading hypotheses
The artistic aspect of trading has to do with qualitative judgments that are much more interesting than most traders who share the all too common dislike of all things scientific:
- self-knowledge in terms of skills attributes and trades
- psychological and cognitive biases that interfere with trading proficiency
- interpretation of news events for scenario-based trading
- hedging positions against forecasted risk scenarios
- the great area in between the black and white of trading rule sets where the trader’s interpretation and judgment that the rules
- identifying trading strategies, market’s targets that harmonize with your preconceived notions of how the market works and where your edge exists
- the application of the insights from psychology and sociology into human performance
- tolerance of uncertainty, ambiguity and risk
- articulation and operationalization of goals and objectives into quantifiable measures
- qualitative descriptions of successful outcomes of your trading practice
T hese two lists just scratched the surface of the art and science of trading. You should be able to see how both of these domains are powerful influences on the final outcome of our trading practice. Finding the proper blend between these two domains that represent the two halves of our brain will be crucial to your success as a trader