Category: Uncertainty

I am not sure what i should put in this category

Profitable ETF Trading Strategies: Reversion to the Mean Trading Style

One of the time tested principles of market dynamics is the principle of the Reversion to the Mean. Over the long run, performance, volatility, price, relative strength: all of these measures mathematically require that periods of out-performance shall return to the mean.  Naturally, this is not prediction, only an appreciation of how the math is performed. […]

A reflection on Problem-solving vs Decision-making

I see an important distinction between problem-solving as a method and decision making as a process. I see problem solving as an important component of decision-making but I see this distinction: decision-making seems to be the ultimate act of convergent thinking as a prelude to action. I see problem-solving as an analytical or intuitive process […]

A Bailout Alternative

Let investment banks go bankrupt, and their assets should be auctioned by the government as if they were people that had died intestate.  Proceeds of the estate sale should go intot the general fund to be applied against the national debt The government should act as a caretaker to continue to receive current mortgage payments […]

Reflections on TRADOC Pam 525-5-500: Commander’s Appreciation & Campaign Design (CACD)

Research Question: What is the theoretical basis for the US Army’s proposed modification to the Military Decision Making Process (MDMP) and what are the issues of concern for practitioners of the art of military decision making?   Introduction and background: The United States Army’s Military Decision-Making Process stands the test of time as a method […]

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